4-10-18 – Trading Strategy

4-10-18 – Trading Strategy

Current Positions



2/5/18 – 468 TMV (Inverse 20+ Year Treasury Bonds) @ $21.03 ($9,842 Position Size)
2/12/18 – 400 ERY (Inverse Energy Explorer) @ $10.61 ($4,244 Position Size)
2/16/18 – 202 UWT (Crude Oil) @ $26.15 ($5,282 Position Size)
2/20/18 136 YINN (China) @ $37.43 ($5,090 Position Size)
3/23/18 – 1000 DRV (Inverse Real Estate) @ $14.05 ($14,050 Position Size)
3/29/18 – 91 LABD (Inverse Biotech) @ $38.00 ($3,458 Position Size)

 

Positions I’m Opening


  • No new positions for Tuesday

Positions I’m Closing


Sell TMV (Inverse 20+ Year Treasury Bonds) Limit @ $24.00 14.12% or ($1,390 Profit)
Sell TMV (Inverse 20+ Year Treasury Bonds) Stop Limit @ $17.80 15.36% or ($1,512 Loss)

Sell ERY (Inverse Energy Exploration Companies) Limit @ $15.00 41.38% or ($1,756 Profit)
Sell ERY (Inverse Energy Exploration Companies) Stop Limit @ $7.00 34.2% or ($1,444 Loss) 

Sell UWT (Crude Oil) Limit @ $33.00 26.20% or ($1,384 Profit)
Sell UWT (Crude Oil) Stop Limit @ $18.75 28.30% or ($1,495 Loss)

Sell YINN (China) Limit @ $54.00 44.27% or ($2,253 Profit)
Sell YINN (China) Stop Limit @ $29.00 22.52% or ($1,146 Loss)
 
Sell DRV (Inverse Real Estate) Limit @ $16.00 13.88% or ($1,950 Profit)
Sell DRV (Inverse Real Estate) Stop Limit @ $12.50 11.03% or ($1,550 Loss)
Sell LABD (Inverse Biotech) Limit @ $44.50  17.11% or ($592 Profit)
Sell LABD (Inverse Biotech) Stop Limit @ $28.00 26.32 or ($910 Loss)

Today’s Update


Sold BRZU (Brazil) Stop Limit @ $42.25 21.35% or ($1,491 Loss)

As volatility is increasing, many markets are also showing a downward bias. BRZU (Brazil) dropped enough today to stop me out.

 

Current Performance


This is going to be a rough ride and perhaps one that I’ll be holding on to for weeks. With the wild swings in the market, there aren’t many directional plays to make. There is a slight downward directional bias in the markets, but combined with wild swings, the best I can do is to ride out my stops since they are wide an accommodate these moves. The political trade wars between China and the US are going to hurt all markets. The scary part of playing downward moves is any ounce of good news will send those trades bouncing back fast, so it’s harder to play the downside moves longer term since most of these moves are news based vs fundamentals.

 

Positions I’m Closing


Sell TMV (Inverse 20+ Year Treasury Bonds) Limit @ $24.00 14.12% or ($1,390 Profit)
Sell TMV (Inverse 20+ Year Treasury Bonds) Stop Limit @ $17.80 15.36% or ($1,512 Loss)

TMF still remains under $19.75, but more waiting is necessary as it’s in a short term recovery, but a longer term downward bias.

Chart and orders for TMV (Inverse 20+ Year Treasury Bonds) 

Seeing a chance at recovery now.

 

Sell ERY (Inverse Energy Exploration Companies) Limit @ $15.00 41.38% or ($1,756 Profit)
Sell ERY (Inverse Energy Exploration Companies) Stop Limit @ $7.00 34.2% or ($1,444 Loss)

ERX remains below $28.00 but stuck solid in a sideways, but volatile, movement.

Chart and Orders for ERY (Inverse Energy Exploration Companies)

Sell UWT (Crude Oil) Limit @ $33.00 26.20% or ($1,384 Profit)
Sell UWT (Crude Oil) Stop Limit @ $18.75 28.30% or ($1,495 Loss)
UWT continues to remain in it’s upward channel, but has been stalling like most other markets.

Sell YINN (China) Limit @ $54.00 44.27% or ($2,253 Profit)
Sell YINN (China) Stop Limit @ $29.00 22.52% or ($1,146 Loss)

Continued tariff wars are only hurting YINN (China) but if one bit of good news comes out we will see a strong bounce. Hoping my stop was far enough to accommodate.

 

Sell DRV (Inverse Real Estate) Limit @ $16.00
Sell DRV (Inverse Real Estate) Stop Limit @ $12.50

DRN is still moving sideways, but is struggling to break above $17.00

Chart and orders for DRV (Inverse Real Estate)

Sell LABD (Inverse Biotech) Limit @ $44.50  17.11% or ($592 Profit)
Sell LABD (Inverse Biotech) Stop Limit @ $28.00 26.32 or ($910 Loss)

LABU (Biotech) continues to hold the downward trend which is what I need to keep seeing.

Chart and orders for LABD (Inverse Biotech) LABD keeps coming close to my sell level. It’s not a huge profit, but I need to take off something to offset these draw downs and this one is at least working in my favor currently.

Facebooktwittergoogle_plusredditpinterestlinkedinmail

4-4-18 – Trading Strategy

4-4-18 – Trading Strategy

Current Positions



2/5/18 – 468 TMV (Inverse 20+ Year Treasury Bonds) @ $21.03 ($9,842 Position Size)
2/12/18 – 400 ERY (Inverse Energy Explorer) @ $10.61 ($4,244 Position Size)
2/16/18 – 202 UWT (Crude Oil) @ $26.15 ($5,282 Position Size)
2/20/18 136 YINN (China) @ $37.43 ($5,090 Position Size)
3/5/18 – 130 BRZU (Brazil) @ $53.72 ($6,984 Position Size)
3/23/18 – 1000 DRV (Inverse Real Estate) @ $14.05 ($14,050 Position Size)
3/29/18 – 91 LABD (Inverse Biotech) @ $38.00 ($3,458 Position Size)

 

Positions I’m Opening


  • No new positions for Wednesday

Positions I’m Closing


Sell TMV (Inverse 20+ Year Treasury Bonds) Limit @ $24.00 14.12% or ($1,390 Profit)
Sell TMV (Inverse 20+ Year Treasury Bonds) Stop Limit @ $17.80 15.36% or ($1,512 Loss)

Sell ERY (Inverse Energy Exploration Companies) Limit @ $15.00 41.38% or ($1,756 Profit)
Sell ERY (Inverse Energy Exploration Companies) Stop Limit @ $7.00 34.2% or ($1,444 Loss) 

Sell UWT (Crude Oil) Limit @ $33.00 26.20% or ($1,384 Profit)
Sell UWT (Crude Oil) Stop Limit @ $18.75 28.30% or ($1,495 Loss)

Sell YINN (China) Limit @ $54.00 44.27% or ($2,253 Profit)
Sell YINN (China) Stop Limit @ $29.00 22.52% or ($1,146 Loss)
 
Sell BRZU (Brazil) Limit @ $65.50 21.93% or ($1,531 Profit)
Sell BRZU (Brazil) Stop Limit @ $42.25 21.35% or ($1,491 Loss)
 
Sell DRV (Inverse Real Estate) Limit @ $16.00 13.88% or ($1,950 Profit)
Sell DRV (Inverse Real Estate) Stop Limit @ $12.50 11.03% or ($1,550 Loss)
Sell LABD (Inverse Biotech) Limit @ $44.50  17.11% or ($592 Profit)
Sell LABD (Inverse Biotech) Stop Limit @ $28.00 26.32 or ($910 Loss)

Today’s Update


 

Current Performance


Market volatility continues and all but one of my positions are in drawdown. However, I’ve set my stops wide to try and ride this out since we’re not getting a clear directional bias. There is a nice short term gain in LABD (Inverse Biotech) which I will most likely sell off if it gets even close to my profit target.

 

 

Positions I’m Closing


Sell TMV (Inverse 20+ Year Treasury Bonds) Limit @ $24.00 14.12% or ($1,390 Profit)
Sell TMV (Inverse 20+ Year Treasury Bonds) Stop Limit @ $17.80 15.36% or ($1,512 Loss)

TMF bounced off a key resistance level of $19.75. Now to hope it holds and will continue back down.

Chart and orders for TMV (Inverse 20+ Year Treasury Bonds) 

Seeing a chance at recovery now.

 

Sell ERY (Inverse Energy Exploration Companies) Limit @ $15.00 41.38% or ($1,756 Profit)
Sell ERY (Inverse Energy Exploration Companies) Stop Limit @ $7.00 34.2% or ($1,444 Loss)

ERX remains below $28.00 but stuck solid in a sideways, but volatile, movement.

Chart and Orders for ERY (Inverse Energy Exploration Companies)

Sell UWT (Crude Oil) Limit @ $33.00 26.20% or ($1,384 Profit)
Sell UWT (Crude Oil) Stop Limit @ $18.75 28.30% or ($1,495 Loss)
UWT has pulled back a good deal, but it’s still profitable.

Sell YINN (China) Limit @ $54.00 44.27% or ($2,253 Profit)
Sell YINN (China) Stop Limit @ $29.00 22.52% or ($1,146 Loss)

China keeps struggling to break higher and continues to drift lower. The ongoing trade wars won’t help the perception of this stock either.

Sell BRZU (Brazil) Limit @ $65.50 21.93% or ($1,531 Profit)
Sell BRZU (Brazil) Stop Limit @ $42.25 21.35% or ($1,491 Loss)

BRZU had a nice two day recovery but still remains in the middle of my stop area.

Sell DRV (Inverse Real Estate) Limit @ $16.00
Sell DRV (Inverse Real Estate) Stop Limit @ $12.50

DRN is moving sideways, but is struggling to break above $17.00

Chart and orders for DRV (Inverse Real Estate)

Sell LABD (Inverse Biotech) Limit @ $44.50  17.11% or ($592 Profit)
Sell LABD (Inverse Biotech) Stop Limit @ $28.00 26.32 or ($910 Loss)

LABU (Biotech) is now breaking down lower which is great for my position in LABD (Inverse Biotech). LABD had a 10:1 reverse split so I’ve adjusted the entry and exit orders accordingly.

Chart and orders for LABD (Inverse Biotech)

Facebooktwittergoogle_plusredditpinterestlinkedinmail

3-29-18 – Trading Strategy

3-29-18 – Trading Strategy

Current Positions



2/5/18 – 468 TMV (Inverse 20+ Year Treasury Bonds) @ $21.03 ($9,842 Position Size)
2/12/18 – 400 ERY (Inverse Energy Explorer) @ $10.61 ($4,244 Position Size)
2/16/18 – 202 UWT (Crude Oil) @ $26.15 ($5,282 Position Size)
2/20/18 136 YINN (China) @ $37.43 ($5,090 Position Size)
3/5/18 – 130 BRZU (Brazil) @ $53.72 ($6,984 Position Size)
3/23/18 – 

 

Positions I’m Opening


Buy 909 LABD (Inverse Biotech) Limit @ $3.65 ($3,318 Position Size)
Buy 833 LABD (Inverse Biotech) Stop @ $3.80 ($3,165 Position Size)

when filled…

Sell LABD (Inverse Biotech) Limit @ $4.50
Sell LABD (Inverse Biotech) Stop Limit @ $2.80

 

Positions I’m Closing


Sell TMV (Inverse 20+ Year Treasury Bonds) Limit @ $24.00 14.12% or ($1,390 Profit)
Sell TMV (Inverse 20+ Year Treasury Bonds) Stop Limit @ $17.80 15.36% or ($1,512 Loss)

Sell ERY (Inverse Energy Exploration Companies) Limit @ $15.00 41.38% or ($1,756 Profit)
Sell ERY (Inverse Energy Exploration Companies) Stop Limit @ $7.00 34.2% or ($1,444 Loss) 

Sell UWT (Crude Oil) Limit @ $33.00 26.20% or ($1,384 Profit)
Sell UWT (Crude Oil) Stop Limit @ $18.75 28.30% or ($1,495 Loss)
Sell YINN (China) Limit @ $54.00 44.27% or ($2,253 Profit)
Sell YINN (China) Stop Limit @ $29.00 22.52% or ($1,146 Loss)
Sell BRZU (Brazil) Limit @ $65.50 21.93% or ($1,531 Profit)
Sell BRZU (Brazil) Stop Limit @ $42.25 21.35% or ($1,491 Loss)
Sell DRV (Inverse Real Estate) Limit @ $16.00 13.88% or ($1,950 Profit)
Sell DRV (Inverse Real Estate) Stop Limit @ $12.50 11.03% or ($1,550 Loss)

Today’s Update


Market volatility has been fluctuating wildly since last week. Many markets are shedding a good deal of their profits and it’s unknown how long this will last. The strong increase in TMF is showing money is certainly moving to conservative investments, but the second safe haven, Gold, isn’t seeing much love either.

In these volatile markets there are only a few strategies that work. Lower the position size and widen the profit targets and stops to ride out the moves, stay in cash, or try and take advantage of the shorter downturn moves and look for cheaper buy-ins.

Having been involved in many drops in the market, playing downside moves can be extremely tricky because they reverse so fast, thus I’m going to keep my stops wide, but I’ll scape off any profitable positions that occur quickly.

Sold EPI (India) Stop Limit @ $25.75 6.36% or ($1,272 Loss)

Unfortunately the long uptrend finally concluded and stopped me out on the 24th. However this is happening to all markets and it’s about riding it out and possibly buying at better price levels.

 

 

Current Performance


With the global markets all turning down I’ll be riding out my existing positions with wide stops and looking to take any decent profits where they can be had. UWT (Crude Oil) isn’t moving as in sync and with uncertainty in the markets that can certainly drive up energy prices. DRV (Real Estate) really got a boost with the Fed projecting further interest rates, but lets see how much is built in. I am keeping very wide stops and low dollar entries to try and ride out the volatility for however long it may last.

I’m looking at adding a breakout downward move in EDC (Emerging Markets) for a short term profit play.

Positions I’m Opening


Buy 909 LABD (Inverse Biotech) Limit @ $3.65 ($3,318 Position Size)
Buy 833 LABD (Inverse Biotech) Stop @ $3.80 ($3,165 Position Size)

when filled…

Sell LABD (Inverse Biotech) Limit @ $4.50
Sell LABD (Inverse Biotech) Stop Limit @ $2.80

Looking at LABU (Biotech) this is a 4/4 on my B12 Trader Confidence scale as I discuss in my Educational Series. We have a breakout below all the moving averages, a key support level has been broken and we’ve broken out of a very strong uptrend on heavy volume.

As a result I’m going to get in this for a downward play by trading LABD (Inverse Biotech) with the many other markets getting hit, this one is getting drug down now as well.

LABU 3-28-18

Chart and orders for LABD (Inverse Biotech)

Using an OCO (Order Cancels Order) to ensure I get a fill tomorrow.

Positions I’m Closing


Sell TMV (Inverse 20+ Year Treasury Bonds) Limit @ $24.00 14.12% or ($1,390 Profit)
Sell TMV (Inverse 20+ Year Treasury Bonds) Stop Limit @ $17.80 15.36% or ($1,512 Loss)

TMF is climbing back up to the key $19.75 resistance level. It’s broken past the two major moving averages so I can’t stay in this much longer. I still have to see if it can break it’s previous support level.

Chart and orders for TMV (Inverse 20+ Year Treasury Bonds) 

I have a very wide stop on this, but I may pull out early if this momentum picks up.

 

Sell ERY (Inverse Energy Exploration Companies) Limit @ $15.00 41.38% or ($1,756 Profit)
Sell ERY (Inverse Energy Exploration Companies) Stop Limit @ $7.00 34.2% or ($1,444 Loss)

ERX is making another drop below the key $28.00 level, but not breaking out in any particular direction so I’ll continue to hold.

Chart and Orders for ERY (Inverse Energy Exploration Companies)

Sell UWT (Crude Oil) Limit @ $33.00 26.20% or ($1,384 Profit)
Sell UWT (Crude Oil) Stop Limit @ $18.75 28.30% or ($1,495 Loss)
UWT cam very close to my profit target before turning over. I may have to take some profits here to offset some of the drawdowns from the other positions just to be safe.

Sell YINN (China) Limit @ $54.00 44.27% or ($2,253 Profit)
Sell YINN (China) Stop Limit @ $29.00 22.52% or ($1,146 Loss)

China continues to be the target of sell-offs as the trade rhetoric continues, but weather or not it’s really going to hold long term will have to be seen. China is an economic powerhouse that could easily ride out any perception that a few sanctions will affect it. Technically though, I’ve setup a wide stop to try and allow for this. I don’t like the fact that it keeps dipping below my entry so if it recovers near where I entered I may just exit because the directional advantage is no longer here.

Sell BRZU (Brazil) Limit @ $65.50 21.93% or ($1,531 Profit)
Sell BRZU (Brazil) Stop Limit @ $42.25 21.35% or ($1,491 Loss)

BRZU is drifting lower. If I get any decent recover I may exit to limit losses, there doesn’t seem to be much bullish opportunity in these markets.

Sell DRV (Inverse Real Estate) Limit @ $16.00
Sell DRV (Inverse Real Estate) Stop Limit @ $12.50

The fed speak is really propping up real estate. Huge volume on Friday with a correlatedd move higher.

Chart and orders for DRV (Inverse Real Estate)

Facebooktwittergoogle_plusredditpinterestlinkedinmail
1 2 3 4 259