Monthly Archives: April 2018

4-27-18 – Trading Strategy

4-27-18 – Trading Strategy

Current Positions



2/5/18 – 468 TMV (Inverse 20+ Year Treasury Bonds) @ $21.03 ($9,842 Position Size)
2/12/18 – 400 ERY (Inverse Energy Explorer) @ $10.61 ($4,244 Position Size)
2/20/18 136 YINN (China) @ $37.43 ($5,090 Position Size)
3/29/18 – 91 LABD (Inverse Biotech) @ $38.00 ($3,458 Position Size)
4/19/18 – 166 RUSL (Russia) @ $44.00 ($7,304 Position Size) 

 

Positions I’m Opening


  • No new orders, with markets turning down, my inverse ETFs positions should start recovering.

Positions I’m Closing


Sell TMV (Inverse 20+ Year Treasury Bonds) Limit @ $24.00 14.12% or ($1,390 Profit)
Sell TMV (Inverse 20+ Year Treasury Bonds) Stop Limit @ $17.80 15.36% or ($1,512 Loss)

Sell ERY (Inverse Energy Exploration Companies) Limit @ $15.00 41.38% or ($1,756 Profit)
Sell ERY (Inverse Energy Exploration Companies) Stop Limit @ $7.00 34.2% or ($1,444 Loss) 

Sell YINN (China) Limit @ $54.00 44.27% or ($2,253 Profit)
Sell YINN (China) Stop Limit @ $29.00 22.52% or ($1,146 Loss)

Sell LABD (Inverse Biotech) Limit @ $44.50  17.11% or ($592 Profit)
Sell LABD (Inverse Biotech) Stop Limit @ $28.00 26.32 or ($910 Loss)
Sell RUSL (Russia) Limit @ $60.00 36.36% or ($2,656 Profit)
Sell RUSL (Russia) Stop Limit @ $35.00 20.45% or ($1,494 Loss)

Today’s Update


 

 

Current Performance


Despite being in a current drawdown in my positions, they are actually recovering nicely. Since many of my positions are bearish, they have regained a lot and are close to being profitable again. My strategy for this volatile market is to not try and pick direction so tightly but to widen my stops. This has been causing me to stay in positions longer, but I think in the long run for the year I will show solid gains as a result.

Positions I’m Closing


Sell TMV (Inverse 20+ Year Treasury Bonds) Limit @ $24.00 14.12% or ($1,390 Profit)
Sell TMV (Inverse 20+ Year Treasury Bonds) Stop Limit @ $17.80 15.36% or ($1,512 Loss)

TMF has successfully bounced off the $19.75 resistance level and is about to break new lows. This is great for my existing position in TMV (Inverse 20+ Year Treasury Bonds) and it’s following the larger trend lower.

Chart and orders for TMV (Inverse 20+ Year Treasury Bonds) 

Now that it’s on a break out move. I will look at pushing up my stop if it breaks a new short term high to lock in profits. I’ve been waiting patiently for this to go in my favor and now it has.

 

Sell ERY (Inverse Energy Exploration Companies) Limit @ $15.00 41.38% or ($1,756 Profit)
Sell ERY (Inverse Energy Exploration Companies) Stop Limit @ $7.00 34.2% or ($1,444 Loss)

ERX has blown up out of no where moving higher 12 days in a row! This isn’t a sustainable run, so even though I’m down in the position, I’ll exit on a small pull back most likely.

Chart and Orders for ERY (Inverse Energy Exploration Companies) is showing a possible chance of recovery. Continuing to hold to see if my luck changes.

Sell YINN (China) Limit @ $54.00 44.27% or ($2,253 Profit)
Sell YINN (China) Stop Limit @ $29.00 22.52% or ($1,146 Loss)

China continues to drift sideway but still below my entry.

 

Sell LABD (Inverse Biotech) Limit @ $44.50  17.11% or ($592 Profit)
Sell LABD (Inverse Biotech) Stop Limit @ $28.00 26.32 or ($910 Loss)

LABU (Biotech) has pulled back dramatically from it’s original recovery and with this many down days in a row it’s not looking good for LABU, but great for my position in LABD (Inverse Biotech)

Chart and orders for LABD (Inverse Biotech) LABD is about to become profitable again and will hopefully hit my profit target this time.

Sell RUSL (Russia) Limit @ $60.00 36.36% or ($2,656 Profit)
Sell RUSL (Russia) Stop Limit @ $35.00 20.45% or ($1,494 Loss)

I was filled at my lower entry price in Russia, now to see if the recovery will continue.

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4-19-18 – Trading Strategy

4-19-18 – Trading Strategy

Current Positions



2/5/18 – 468 TMV (Inverse 20+ Year Treasury Bonds) @ $21.03 ($9,842 Position Size)
2/12/18 – 400 ERY (Inverse Energy Explorer) @ $10.61 ($4,244 Position Size)
2/16/18 – 202 UWT (Crude Oil) @ $26.15 ($5,282 Position Size)
2/20/18 136 YINN (China) @ $37.43 ($5,090 Position Size)
3/23/18 – 1000 DRV (Inverse Real Estate) @ $14.05 ($14,050 Position Size)
3/29/18 – 91 LABD (Inverse Biotech) @ $38.00 ($3,458 Position Size)

 

Positions I’m Opening


OCO (Order Cancels Order)
Buy 166 RUSL (Russia) Limit @ $44.00 ($7,304 Position Size)
Buy 136 RUSL (Russia) Stop @ $46.00 ($6,256 Position Size)

when filled…

Sell RUSL (Russia) Limit @ $60.00
Sell RUSL (Russia) Stop Limit @ $35.00

Positions I’m Closing


Sell TMV (Inverse 20+ Year Treasury Bonds) Limit @ $24.00 14.12% or ($1,390 Profit)
Sell TMV (Inverse 20+ Year Treasury Bonds) Stop Limit @ $17.80 15.36% or ($1,512 Loss)

Sell ERY (Inverse Energy Exploration Companies) Limit @ $15.00 41.38% or ($1,756 Profit)
Sell ERY (Inverse Energy Exploration Companies) Stop Limit @ $7.00 34.2% or ($1,444 Loss) 

Sell YINN (China) Limit @ $54.00 44.27% or ($2,253 Profit)
Sell YINN (China) Stop Limit @ $29.00 22.52% or ($1,146 Loss)

Sell LABD (Inverse Biotech) Limit @ $44.50  17.11% or ($592 Profit)
Sell LABD (Inverse Biotech) Stop Limit @ $28.00 26.32 or ($910 Loss)

Today’s Update


Sold UWT (Crude Oil) Limit @ $33.00 26.20% or ($1,384 Profithit my profit target and kept going. I decided not to push up my limit order since I had so many positions sitting in the red I needed this win to offset some of the losing trades.

UWT 4-18-18

Sold DRV (Inverse Real Estate) Stop Limit @ $12.50 11.03% or ($1,550 Loss)

Unfortunately DRV dipped low enough to stop me out. It was only profitable for a short period of time and eventually drifted lower.

 

 

Current Performance


UWT (Crude Oil) sold last week for a profit but DRV (Inverse Real Estate) dipped low enough to get stopped out. With volatility slowing down, we’re starting to see the directional moves higher which isn’t good for my inverse ETFs. I should have taken these off earlier when volatility started collapsing.

Positions I’m Opening


OCO (Order Cancels Order)
Buy 166 RUSL (Russia) Limit @ $44.00 ($7,304 Position Size)
Buy 136 RUSL (Russia) Stop @ $46.00 ($6,256 Position Size)

when filled…

Sell RUSL (Russia) Limit @ $60.00
Sell RUSL (Russia) Stop Limit @ $35.00

I really like a trade now in Russia because it’s been holding nicely with a strong uptrend and Oil is moving higher, however recent news caused a panic sell off and now a sharp recovery as it’s a clear buying opportunity on the bounce with a positive PPO turnover.

Positions I’m Closing


Sell TMV (Inverse 20+ Year Treasury Bonds) Limit @ $24.00 14.12% or ($1,390 Profit)
Sell TMV (Inverse 20+ Year Treasury Bonds) Stop Limit @ $17.80 15.36% or ($1,512 Loss)

TMF still remains under $19.75, but more waiting is necessary as it’s in a short term recovery, but a longer term downward bias.

Chart and orders for TMV (Inverse 20+ Year Treasury Bonds) 

Waiting for the move lower as we continue in a holding pattern.

 

Sell ERY (Inverse Energy Exploration Companies) Limit @ $15.00 41.38% or ($1,756 Profit)
Sell ERY (Inverse Energy Exploration Companies) Stop Limit @ $7.00 34.2% or ($1,444 Loss)

ERX has blown up out of no where moving higher 12 days in a row! This isn’t a sustainable run, so even though I’m down in the position, I’ll exit on a small pull back most likely.

Chart and Orders for ERY (Inverse Energy Exploration Companies) Not looking good with this many down days in a row. I’ll sell at the next short recovery.

Sell YINN (China) Limit @ $54.00 44.27% or ($2,253 Profit)
Sell YINN (China) Stop Limit @ $29.00 22.52% or ($1,146 Loss)

China continues to drift sideway but still below my entry.

 

 

 

Sell LABD (Inverse Biotech) Limit @ $44.50  17.11% or ($592 Profit)
Sell LABD (Inverse Biotech) Stop Limit @ $28.00 26.32 or ($910 Loss)

LABU (Biotech) is making a strong recovery and is almost back into it’s original trend channel. The downward move that I was playing is clearly over. I’m just going to wait for one last move into the channel and sell off. I may have one last chance at a reversal.

Chart and orders for LABD (Inverse Biotech) LABD keeps coming close to my sell level. It’s not a huge profit, but I need to take off something to offset these draw downs and this one is at least working in my favor currently.

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4-10-18 – Trading Strategy

4-10-18 – Trading Strategy

Current Positions



2/5/18 – 468 TMV (Inverse 20+ Year Treasury Bonds) @ $21.03 ($9,842 Position Size)
2/12/18 – 400 ERY (Inverse Energy Explorer) @ $10.61 ($4,244 Position Size)
2/16/18 – 202 UWT (Crude Oil) @ $26.15 ($5,282 Position Size)
2/20/18 136 YINN (China) @ $37.43 ($5,090 Position Size)
3/23/18 – 1000 DRV (Inverse Real Estate) @ $14.05 ($14,050 Position Size)
3/29/18 – 91 LABD (Inverse Biotech) @ $38.00 ($3,458 Position Size)

 

Positions I’m Opening


  • No new positions for Tuesday

Positions I’m Closing


Sell TMV (Inverse 20+ Year Treasury Bonds) Limit @ $24.00 14.12% or ($1,390 Profit)
Sell TMV (Inverse 20+ Year Treasury Bonds) Stop Limit @ $17.80 15.36% or ($1,512 Loss)

Sell ERY (Inverse Energy Exploration Companies) Limit @ $15.00 41.38% or ($1,756 Profit)
Sell ERY (Inverse Energy Exploration Companies) Stop Limit @ $7.00 34.2% or ($1,444 Loss) 

Sell UWT (Crude Oil) Limit @ $33.00 26.20% or ($1,384 Profit)
Sell UWT (Crude Oil) Stop Limit @ $18.75 28.30% or ($1,495 Loss)

Sell YINN (China) Limit @ $54.00 44.27% or ($2,253 Profit)
Sell YINN (China) Stop Limit @ $29.00 22.52% or ($1,146 Loss)
 
Sell DRV (Inverse Real Estate) Limit @ $16.00 13.88% or ($1,950 Profit)
Sell DRV (Inverse Real Estate) Stop Limit @ $12.50 11.03% or ($1,550 Loss)
Sell LABD (Inverse Biotech) Limit @ $44.50  17.11% or ($592 Profit)
Sell LABD (Inverse Biotech) Stop Limit @ $28.00 26.32 or ($910 Loss)

Today’s Update


Sold BRZU (Brazil) Stop Limit @ $42.25 21.35% or ($1,491 Loss)

As volatility is increasing, many markets are also showing a downward bias. BRZU (Brazil) dropped enough today to stop me out.

 

Current Performance


This is going to be a rough ride and perhaps one that I’ll be holding on to for weeks. With the wild swings in the market, there aren’t many directional plays to make. There is a slight downward directional bias in the markets, but combined with wild swings, the best I can do is to ride out my stops since they are wide an accommodate these moves. The political trade wars between China and the US are going to hurt all markets. The scary part of playing downward moves is any ounce of good news will send those trades bouncing back fast, so it’s harder to play the downside moves longer term since most of these moves are news based vs fundamentals.

 

Positions I’m Closing


Sell TMV (Inverse 20+ Year Treasury Bonds) Limit @ $24.00 14.12% or ($1,390 Profit)
Sell TMV (Inverse 20+ Year Treasury Bonds) Stop Limit @ $17.80 15.36% or ($1,512 Loss)

TMF still remains under $19.75, but more waiting is necessary as it’s in a short term recovery, but a longer term downward bias.

Chart and orders for TMV (Inverse 20+ Year Treasury Bonds) 

Seeing a chance at recovery now.

 

Sell ERY (Inverse Energy Exploration Companies) Limit @ $15.00 41.38% or ($1,756 Profit)
Sell ERY (Inverse Energy Exploration Companies) Stop Limit @ $7.00 34.2% or ($1,444 Loss)

ERX remains below $28.00 but stuck solid in a sideways, but volatile, movement.

Chart and Orders for ERY (Inverse Energy Exploration Companies)

Sell UWT (Crude Oil) Limit @ $33.00 26.20% or ($1,384 Profit)
Sell UWT (Crude Oil) Stop Limit @ $18.75 28.30% or ($1,495 Loss)
UWT continues to remain in it’s upward channel, but has been stalling like most other markets.

Sell YINN (China) Limit @ $54.00 44.27% or ($2,253 Profit)
Sell YINN (China) Stop Limit @ $29.00 22.52% or ($1,146 Loss)

Continued tariff wars are only hurting YINN (China) but if one bit of good news comes out we will see a strong bounce. Hoping my stop was far enough to accommodate.

 

Sell DRV (Inverse Real Estate) Limit @ $16.00
Sell DRV (Inverse Real Estate) Stop Limit @ $12.50

DRN is still moving sideways, but is struggling to break above $17.00

Chart and orders for DRV (Inverse Real Estate)

Sell LABD (Inverse Biotech) Limit @ $44.50  17.11% or ($592 Profit)
Sell LABD (Inverse Biotech) Stop Limit @ $28.00 26.32 or ($910 Loss)

LABU (Biotech) continues to hold the downward trend which is what I need to keep seeing.

Chart and orders for LABD (Inverse Biotech) LABD keeps coming close to my sell level. It’s not a huge profit, but I need to take off something to offset these draw downs and this one is at least working in my favor currently.

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