Monthly Archives: April 2015

5-1-15 – Trading Strategy

5-1-15 – Trading Strategy

Current Holdings


Real time portfolio updates are now available here

4/16/15 – UWTI (Crude Oil) @ $3.45
4/24/15 – EURL (Europe) @ $36.11
4/27/15 – RUSL (Russia) @ $31.60

Today’s Updates


JNUG (Junior Gold Miners) Stop Loss @ $21.87 for an 8.99% loss 

– As seen in previous months, morning gaps down have caused immediate stops to be hit. Today was no exception and nothing could have foretold this. However, with the many other positions in positive territory this should be a profitable month as I close out the remaining positions.

The markets have this “bearish” feel, many of the markets are turning downward together. May might turn out to be an interesting month.

Market Snapshot 4-30-15

 

Current Holdings with Open Orders for 5/1/15


Sell UWTI (Crude Oil) Limit @ 4.10 (18.84% Profit)
Sell UWTI (Crude Oil) Stop @ 3.30 (4.35% Loss)

– With today’s strong movement, I am moving up my limit order to 1.5x the daily trading range and my stop to 1x the daily trading range.

UWTI 4-30-15

Sell EURL (Europe) Limit @ $39.50 (9.39% Profit)
Sell EURL (Europe) Stop @ $35.30 (2.24% Loss)

EURL dropped a bit more today, with 3 days now, we’ll see if my stop order will hold or if I’ll end up taking a loss. It’s hard to say with the markets recent volatility.

EURL 4-30-15

 

Sell RUSL (Russia) Limit @ $36.85 (16.61% Profit)
Sell RUSL (Russia) Stop @ $28.80 (8.86% Loss)

– More sideways movement today, so same orders as yesterday.

RUSL 4-30-15

New Open Orders for 5/1/15


 

– This has been a strange past few days, DRV (Inverse Real Estate) looks like a good entry, but with JNUG flip flopping like this today, I just don’t trust these movements so I’m going to wait to see what Monday holds.

 

 

 

 

4-30-15 – Trading Strategy

4-30-15 – Trading Strategy

Current Holdings


Real time portfolio updates are now available here

4/16/15 – UWTI (Crude Oil) @ $3.45
4/24/15 – EURL (Europe) @ $36.11
4/27/15 – RUSL (Russia) @ $31.60
4/29/15 – JNUG (Junior Gold Miners) @ $24.03

Today’s Updates


JNUG (Junior Gold Miners) Stop Buy filled @ $24.03

– Interestingly, the low for the day was $22.85 but my limit order was $22.80. The markets taunt me again!

– As usual, with today’s Fed announcement of “nothing to see here” the markets sloshed around wildly. It looked like JNUG was going to start profitable out of the gate but closed lower on the day. There are some new stocks on the watch, but I want to give the market a day to clear things up as wild volatility on a Fed day can really sku reality.

Market Snapshot 4-29-15

Two more markets are raising eyebrows today. Specifically DRN (Real Estate) and TMF (20+ Year Treasury Bonds), but I don’t want to take action only because of today’s Fed announcement creating too much volatility.

DRN (Real Estate) broke out of a consolidation to the downside, but hasn’t broken it’s previous low of $74.97 on 3/6/15. This may be tradeable soon.

DRN 4-29-15

 

TMF (20+ Treasury Bonds) had a very nice gap down today on very heavy volume. This could be the start of a new downtrend (which is certainly due), but it could also be investors spooked by the Fed announcement as well. Watching this one very closely.

TMF 4-29-15

 

Current Holdings with Open Orders for 4/30/15


Sell UWTI (Crude Oil) Limit @ 4.00 (15.94% Profit)
Sell UWTI (Crude Oil) Stop @ 3.20 (7.25% Loss)

Nice move in UWTI bringing the trade into the profit zone. The daily trading range is .28 cents or 7.63% so I still need to keep giving it room. None the less, I’m bumping up my stop by another .10 cents to follow the hopefully continued upward movement.

Also moving up my price target to $4.00 to allow for more upward movement.

UWTI 4-29-15

Sell EURL (Europe) Limit @ $39.50 (9.39% Profit)
Sell EURL (Europe) Stop @ $35.30 (2.24% Loss)

EURL dropped back to where I started. Keeping the same order as none of the technicals have changed.

EURL 4-29-15

Sell RUSL (Russia) Limit @ $36.85 (16.61% Profit)
Sell RUSL (Russia) Stop @ $28.80 (8.86% Loss)

– Pretty much sideways movement today, so I will keep the same orders as yesterday.

RUSL 4-29-15

Sell JNUG (Junior Gold Miners) Limit @ $27.00 (12.36% Profit)
Sell JNUG (Junior Gold Miners) Stop @ $22.00 (8.45% Loss)

JNUG is breaking out of a triangle consolidation, the best stop is just below the previous area of resistance. I didn’t get as favorable a position as I wanted to, but that just means I have to allow it more room to run as the true point of invalidation is that previous resistance level. If it keeps moving, the move could be quite substantial so I am putting my initial sell limit rather high for a daily move.

JNUG 4-29-15

New Open Orders for 4/30/15


 

– I am going to wait to see how the week finishes out before taking on new positions as a result of today’s volatility due to the Fed.

 

 

4-29-15 – Trading Strategy

4-29-15 – Trading Strategy

Current Holdings


Real time portfolio updates are now available here

4/16/15 – UWTI (Crude Oil) @ $3.45
4/24/15 – EURL (Europe) @ $36.11
4/27/15 – RUSL (Russia) @ $31.60

Today’s Updates


Gold was the major stand out today, especially Junior Gold Miners. We have a strong movement outside of our triangle consolidation. This could quickly reverse or turn into a sideways consolidation, but with the large movements JNUG averages, I need to make a move as soon as the signs are there.

Most other existing positions improved or declined slightly today. No changes to existing orders will be made.

Market Snapshot 4-28-15

Current Holdings with Open Orders for 4/29/15


Sell UWTI (Crude Oil) Limit @ 3.80 (10.14% Profit)
Sell UWTI (Crude Oil) Stop @ 3.10 (10.14% Loss)

– More sideways movement keeping the same orders for now.

UWTI 4-28-15

Sell EURL (Europe) Limit @ $39.50 (9.39% Profit)
Sell EURL (Europe) Stop @ $35.30 (2.24% Loss)

– Slight downward movement today, but nothing enough to change existing orders for tomorrow.

EURL 4-28-15

 

Sell RUSL (Russia) Limit @ $36.85 (16.61% Profit)
Sell RUSL (Russia) Stop @ $28.80 (8.86% Loss)

– Added a few percentage points of profit to the position today, but keeping orders the same in case markets get volatile.

RUSL 4-28-15

 

New Open Orders for 4/29/15


Order Cancels Order

Buy JNUG (Junior Gold Miners) Stop @ $24.00
Buy JNUG (Junior Gold Miners) Limit @ $22.80

  • Price Breakout from Triangle consolidation and price resistance at $22.50
  • Price broke above the 20-50 day moving averages
  • PPO is positive

JNUG 4-28-15

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